Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.453110 0.532095 0.618755 0.720622 0.836798 0.964871 1.116446
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.334927 0.440497 0.567720 0.731112 0.934040 1.176340 1.485947
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.256858 0.373064 0.524913 0.735033 1.014950 1.371336 1.855089
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.206443 0.327340 0.496879 0.746919 1.100166 1.574305 2.250153
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.167510 0.287916 0.467946 0.748983 1.166995 1.754217 2.626850
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.131931 0.245306 0.425621 0.722667 1.186215 1.865272 2.913291
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.114877 0.228576 0.419183 0.747711 1.281186 2.089948 3.377013
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.099903 0.212136 0.409933 0.765608 1.364820 2.302234 3.836150
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.091860 0.206582 0.417801 0.811774 1.496722 2.597147 4.440423
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.078266 0.187497 0.398433 0.807719 1.543586 2.759559 4.847038
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.066094 0.168705 0.376469 0.795524 1.573921 2.895477 5.218090
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.056610 0.153629 0.359180 0.789243 1.612843 3.046741 5.621922
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.050289 0.144675 0.353377 0.805207 1.695232 3.280893 6.185313
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044166 0.134884 0.344358 0.813679 1.764440 3.497275 6.733251
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038521 0.124979 0.333485 0.816798 1.823264 3.698798 7.267605
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.034273 0.117769 0.327524 0.829366 1.901328 3.939946 7.885965
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029995 0.109400 0.317432 0.831451 1.957972 4.144488 8.449603
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024795 0.096870 0.294965 0.802556 1.947397 4.220383 8.780893
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022870 0.094045 0.296702 0.829964 2.057990 4.536227 9.576142
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020816 0.090260 0.295285 0.849551 2.153060 4.827093 10.339160
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020096 0.090901 0.306028 0.900075 2.320245 5.270921 11.417169
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017556 0.084296 0.295368 0.895637 2.363515 5.467054 12.024774
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015092 0.077178 0.281940 0.882292 2.384898 5.619069 12.552880